More ridiculous predictions by Elon Musk

 Elon Musk Believes 2029 is Year We Achieve Both AGI and Humans on Mars

Even though AGI needn't be sentient, I'm dubious that AGI will ever be possible.  But if it is, it will take at least 500 years, or at least that's my prediction.  And I tend to be right most of the time.

OK, Musk says 2029. I say 2522. Who are you going to trust most? Me or Elon?

And I still say a human will land on Mars, most probably a woman (due to her weight), in 2069.

Elon Musk has a plan to send a million people to colonize Mars

Elon Musk thinks we'll get to Mars by the 2020's. Read here.

It sounds fanciful but Musk, in typical Musk fashion, gave a hugely optimistic timeline for the first launch – 10 years from now, around 2026 or even as early as 2024. Yikes.

Optimistic? Ludicrous is the word I would use. It simply couldn't happen by 2026. Mars is too far away. If anyone did get to Mars it would only be one person -- probably a women as she's lighter etc. Then they wouldn't be able to get back to Earth again. The prediction is just silly.


Also I have no idea why anyone would want to go there. It's a barren, airless, uninhabitable rock. There's nothing of any interest to see, certainly nothing to do there. It'll be the same for virtually every single planet in the Universe.

However, I do think we'll get there eventually. I estimate that a human -- most probably a woman -- will first step on the surface of Mars on Saturday the 20th July 2069.